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Does House Price Index Data Provide A Clearer Picture Than The Newspaper Headlines Suggest?

Does House Price Index Data Provide A Clearer Picture Than The Newspaper Headlines Suggest?

Does House Price Index Data Provide A Clearer Picture Than The Newspaper Headlines Suggest?

There can be a great deal of contradiction with the rising number of published House Price Indices, (HPI), that attempt to show the general public what is happening in the UK residential property sales market.

Many Spotlight subscribers are already aware that some of the published House Price Index data provided by mortgage lenders only relate to residential property sales, whilst others relate only to property asking prices.

However, property purchasers are often told to use the official published Land Registry data as a true guide to property prices rather than rely on any house price index data, but Land Registry data is a few months out of date because the Land Registry only record actual completed residential property sales.

Consumers need to know if all the HPI data is anywhere near accurate before they decide to part with cash to purchase a property, and with some degree of disparity between different indices the information provided can be confusing.

However, one thing is becoming very clear – UK property price growth is slowing!

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Are Property Price Rises Slowing?

Are Property Price Rises Slowing?

Is The UK Property Market Just Experiencing
A Seasonal Slowdown Or Is It Something Worse?

There are a lot of reports in the media attempting to suggest that the UK property market is doomed to failure, with the latest House Price Indices (HPI) published by mortgage lenders suggesting that the UK property market is slowing, however there are fears that it might be in more serious trouble.

Halifax latest figures show that property prices in the three months prior to September 2014 were 2.7% higher than in the preceding quarter but there was an average 0.6% property price rise across the UK during September, resulting in an average property price of £187,188 (GBP).

Halifax say that this is the second successive decline in the quarterly rate and predict that the annual house price growth rate has already peaked at 10% and future growth will be at a considerably slower pace. 

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2014 UK Property Prices To Increase Further

2014 UK Property Prices To Increase Further

UK Property Prices Extend Best Run Since 2007

There was some good news for property investors looking for capital appreciation this week as it was reported that UK property prices have continued to rise, increasing for the 14th consecutive month in March 2014, the longest run of price growth for nearly 7 years.

Residential property values across the UK increased by an average of 0.6% in March, with the South West and East Anglia regions recording the largest property price increases of 0.8%, according to data supplied by Hometrack Ltd.

Yorkshire & Humberside and the North West regions registered the smallest gains, with property values increasing by just 0.2% in March 2014.

Even independent surveyors are forecasting property prices to increase by a further 6% this year and are including this information on property condition reports for prospective purchasers.

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UK Buy-To-Let Property Returns Better Than Fixed Rate ISA’s

UK Buy-To-Let Property Returns Better Than Fixed Rate ISA’s

UK Property Investment Offers Better Returns Than Fixed Rate ISA’s

UK investors are putting even more of their money into property investments rather than saving using an ISA because the returns can be far better.

UK property values have increased 11% year on year despite the property crash in 2008, however, the best fixed rate ISA offered by UK banks only offers savers an annual return equal to 1.85%.

The rise in UK property prices has caught the attention of diverse investors who would usually opt for different types of investment products to give them good  returns on their investment funds.

Property investment in the UK’s private rented sector allows investors to build profitable rental portfolios that produce better yields than other types of investment funds, including ISA’s.

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House Prices Officially Rising Across The UK

House Prices Officially Rising Across The UK

UK House Prices Rising Faster Than Inflation

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has recorded year-on-year house price increases across the UK with property values increasing by:

  • 5.6% in England
  • 5.4% in Wales
  • 2.5% in Scotland
  • 3.3% in Northern Ireland

The increase in house prices and activity in the UK property market has been credited to an increase in first-time buyers (FTB) purchasing residential property using the Government’s Help-To-Buy scheme.

The ONS have revealed that annual house price growth outpaced the cost of living in November 2013, even after removing property market activity in London and the South East of England from the calculations, property prices were up by an average of 3.1%, compared with a 2.1% rate of inflation.

Property price increases in the UK are generally driven by market activity and price increases in London and its surrounding areas, although other regions have started to show accelerating property price increases.

Property prices in London were up by 11.6% in November 2013, compared with a year earlier, and property prices have also increased strongly across the whole of the UK according to official figures

Regional Property Price Increases

  • London: up 11.6%
  • South East: up 4.5%
  • West Midlands: up 4.4%
  • North East: up 4.2%
  • East: up 4.1%
  • Yorkshire and the Humber: up 3.2%
  • South West: up 3.1%
  • East Midlands: up 2%
  • North West: up 0.6%                           Source: ONS annual change, Nov 2013

UK regions are becoming far more buoyant and less reliant on activity in the London property market and the majority of buyers are having to look further afield than central locations to find affordable properties, creating a halo effect on property prices.

The annual increase in UK property prices in November follows on from the 5.5% rise observed in October 2013 and although the annual comparison did not show any acceleration, property prices were higher than the previous month increasing by 0.5% in November compared with October, with an average residential property valued at £248,000 (GBP).

The ONS house price index is based on mortgage completions, and is considered to be more comprehensive than House Price Indices (HPI) produced by mortgage lenders such as the Halifax and Nationwide whose figures are based on their own mortgage data.

Manchester Leads UK Property Boom

Manchester Leads UK Property Boom

Manchester Leads UK Property Boom

Increasing property prices are not just a phenomenon belonging to London and the South-East of England, as new data from Nationwide shows that all UK regions are now enjoying increasing property prices as the property boom continues to gather pace.

Every region across the UK saw property prices increase year-on-year, ranging from a 14.9% annual increase in London to a 1.9% uplift in the North.

Nationwide reported that property values increased by an average of 8.4% across the whole of the UK in 2013, as the market revival became increasingly broad-based, but Manchester emerged as the property boom city, with property prices up by 21% over the last year, to reach an average value of £209,627 (GBP).

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Property Prices Increase As New Houses Built

Property Prices Increase As New Houses Built

Property Prices Increase As New Houses Built

On Tuesday, it was revealed that the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), said 21% of its members had reported an increased workload during the second quarter of the year.

The poll, the most upbeat since the start of 2007, indicated that the reported recovery of the UK property market was widespread, with surveyors in almost all of the UK’s regions and industry sub-sectors becoming busier.

The best-performing regions were London and the South West, often referred to as the driving force behind the UK property market, while the worst region was Northern Ireland, the only part of the UK where RICS surveyors continue to see their workload shrink.

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Rightmove Doubles UK Property Values Forecast As Property Prices Increase Again

Rightmove Doubles UK Property Values Forecast As Property Prices Increase Again

UK property values increase for seventh month in a row

UK property values have reached a new five year high, according to property portal, Rightmove, who revised their forecast of UK residential property values, and now reckon that residential property prices will increase to double their previous property value forecast for 2013.

As Spotlight reported last week, residential property values have already increased by 0.3% to average £253,658 (GBP), and now Rightmove reckon property values will now climb by up to 4% this year instead of the 2% previously predicted. However, it wasn’t good news for the whole country as residential property prices in London remained unchanged, holding at a record average of £515,379 (GBP).

The economic incentives introduced by the Government and the Bank of England (BoE) to increase overall lending and credit supply has boosted the demand for residential property ownership from first time buyers.

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UK Residential Property Prices Are Still Increasing

UK Residential Property Prices Are Still Increasing

UK residential property prices increased by between 0.3% and 0.6% in June depending on which house price index is viewed

Figures released by Nationwide and Halifax have some disparity; however, both report that residential property prices are increasing. 

Nationwide report that UK residential property is valued 1.9% higher than a year ago with the typical UK home worth £168,941 (GBP). 

Halifax report that UK residential property is 3.7% higher than in the same three months of 2012.

The data from Nationwide shows that the southern regions of England, especially London, continued to record stronger rates of property price growth and London also tops the table of property price growth in the second quarter index.

Overall the price of a typical residential property is up 1.4% compared with the same quarter in 2012.

10 of the 13 UK regions saw annual property price rises in the second quarter of 2013, however, Northern Ireland is still the worst performing region with property prices down 2.1% in the second quarter of the year.

London property prices increased by 5.2% compared with the second quarter of last year and the city has seen the greatest recovery in property prices of any region with prices now 5% above their 2007 peak at £318,214 (GBP).

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UK Property Prices Increase Again

UK Property Prices Increase Again

UK Residential Property Prices
Return To Good Health

UK residential property prices increased again in June 2013, marking the return to good health of the property market.

Property price rises are at their fastest rate in over two-and-a-half years as mortgages became more available and less expensive, adding to fears of another property market bubble as overall housing supply remains low.

The latest monthly residential property price index from UK mortgage lender, Nationwide, shows that UK property prices were up 0.3% in June 2013, while the annual increase of 1.9% was the sharpest residential property price increase since September 2010, but those gains were below the 0.4% monthly rise and 2.1% year-on-year price increases forecast by many economists.

In May 2013, residential property prices rose an unrevised 0.4% on the month and 1.1% on the year overall, signalling the recovery of the UK property market.

The number of mortgages approved by UK banks also increased by a quarter in the twelve months to May 2013. However, over the same period, the value of outstanding mortgage loans secured on property dropped by 0.2%.

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