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Governor of the Bank of England thinks Northern Ireland's House Prices Are Not Keeping Pace With Rest Of UK

Governor of the Bank of England thinks Northern Ireland’s House Prices Are Not Keeping Pace With Rest Of UK

Northern Ireland House Prices Not Keeping Pace With Rest Of UK

Mr Carney told the Andrew Marr programme that “if you look at the UK as a whole, everywhere bar Northern Ireland – we are now seeing house prices begin to recover”

On Sunday 16th February, the Governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney said in a BBC interview with Andrew Marr said that Northern Ireland is the only part of the UK where house prices are not recovering, stating: “If you look at the UK as a whole, everywhere bar Northern Ireland – we are now seeing house prices begin to recover, so it is a more generalised phenomenon”.

However, Mr Carney’s comments provoked a backlash from Northern Ireland’s finance minister Simon Hamilton who reckons that Mr Carney’s remarks were at odds with analysis carried out by Stormont’s Department of Finance and Personnel (DFP).

Mr Hamilton posted on his Twitter account, “Doesn’t tally with DFP analysis. Never thought I’d have to correct a governor of BoE!”

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Property Asking Prices Collapse In NovemberProperty Prices Rise At Fastest Rate For 6 Years…Or do they?

The asking price of property is supposed to be rising at the fastest rate for over 6 years, according to Rightmove, however, asking prices actually dropped by 2.4% during October, all but wiping out September’s 2.8% gain. This is the third dip in property prices in 2013.

UK property owners have raised the asking price for their properties by 4% compared to this time last year, marking the biggest annual rise in residential property prices since the financial crisis and property crash hit in 2007.

The average asking price that UK vendors want for residential property now averages around £246,237 (GBP), according to Rightmove, compared to £252,418 (GBP) in October.

It is worth pointing out that residential property asking prices usually fall by approximately 3% in November ahead of the festive season traditional slowdown.

So with residential property asking prices falling by just 2.4% in November suggests that the recent upturn in housing market activity will cushion the predictable seasonal drop.

Rightmove say that buyers still have a wide choice of property types to choose from as the UK property market is holding up relatively well for first-time buyers, as the number of flats and terraced properties on the market has declined more slowly than the number of detached and semi-detached properties this month.

Property prices in the East Midlands were 7.4% higher than they were in 2012, averaging £168,873 (GBP), outpacing property price rises in London.

The average asking price for a residential property in London is over three times greater than property values currently are in the East Midlands and asking prices in London have risen by 6.9% year-on-year, to reach a typical average value of £517,276 (GBP).

In fact residential property asking prices have increased across most UK regions apart from in the North, where residential property prices have dipped by 0.5% annually to average just £141,426 (GBP).

Property prices in Wales dropped by the smallest amount, down by 0.4% to reach a typical average of £165,110 (GBP), while desperate property vendors in London have dropped residential property asking prices by as much as 5% since October.

Rightmove said that traffic to its website has increased 30% in the last 12 months, a sure sign of growing demand from would-be property buyers. The property portal also said that the stock of unsold residential properties has fallen from an average of 71 per estate agency branch one year ago to 67.

Rightmove Director, Miles Shipside, said: “Estate agents expect a more buoyant 2014 as they pick up early signs of an increase in buyer interest and demand, so this side of Christmas could be the time for eager property buyers to hunt out keen property vendors and strike a deal. However, agents’ challenges differ wildly depending on local market conditions. While some are really concerned about future sales because of a lack of fresh vendors, others report vendors getting too brave too early on their asking price aspirations in less active parts of the country, potentially stifling a property market recovery before it has got going.”

The infographic below shows the increase and decreases in residential property asking prices in November 2013 compared to October.

Property Asking Prices Collapse In November

Property Asking Prices Collapse In November

Source: Rightmove.co.uk

UK residential property prices rise to 8-month high

UK Residential Property Prices Increase To 8 Month High

UK Residential Property Prices Increase To 8 Month High

Sellers of residential property raised their asking prices by more than £8,000 (GBP) in October 2012, the biggest property price rise seen in eight months, according to property portal – Rightmove.

The typical residential property asking price rose by 3.5% month-on-month to £243,168 (GBP), as all UK regions saw prices increase.

The property search website said the autumn rebound showed “evidence of some life in the market”, although it suggested the upturn is most likely to be due to a lack of properties for sale, meaning would-be buyers have less choice.

The jump means prices are 1.5% higher than a year ago and goes some way to reversing an £11,000 (GBP) fall in residential property prices between June and September 2012, when the market saw a lull due to sporting distractions like the Olympics and Paralympics.

London still has strong overseas buyer interest and continues to perform relatively strongly and saw the biggest monthly increase in residential property asking prices, with a 4.8% jump taking average prices to £478,071 (GBP).

The South East and the West Midlands both saw 3.9% increases, while prices rose by 3.8% in the North West and by 3.4% in Wales, while East Anglia saw the smallest increase, with a 0.4% rise in residential property asking prices.

New data released by the UK’s Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) shows that Monthly mortgage payments on residential properties in October 2011 were the most affordable for nearly eight years, but due to increased regulation, lending numbers dropped.

Although First-Time Buyers’ (FTB) deposit requirements have remained stable in recent months at an average of 20%, their monthly interest payments have continued to fall and now typically consume 12.3% of income, the lowest level since January 2004.

Affordability for movers also improved, with this group paying an average of 9.2% of income on mortgage interest, the lowest level since monthly records began in 2002. However, despite the improved affordability of monthly mortgage payments, lending activity has slowed.

In October 2011, 44,500 loans for house purchase were advanced, down from 48,200 in September and from 46,900 in October 2010.

Of the 44,500 loans, 16,400 went to first-time buyers, down from 18,200 in September 2011, down 1% on October last year.

Mortgage affordability is one thing, but the lack of deposits remains a major factor in holding back the housing market, especially for first-time buyers.

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UK property market shows signs of life

UK Property Market Is Still Alive & Well

The overall number of properties ‘Sold’ in November 2011 was up +1.4% compared to November 2010 and up +0.1% against November 2009.

November has seen the UK’s residential property market start its traditional seasonal decline according to data released from the Agency Express Property Activity Index.

But whilst month on month properties nationally achieving ‘Sold’ status in November were down -7.1% on October 2011 and the number of new ‘For Sale’ listings recorded were down, by -11.8%, it was the second smallest November drop since the Index began in 2007.

Encouragingly, the overall number of properties ‘Sold’ in November 2011 was also up +1.4% compared to November 2010 and up +0.1% against November 2009.

Regionally, there were some positive signs with four of the twelve regions bucking the seasonal trend and showing positive figures for the number of properties ‘Sold’ in November against the previous month.

The North East topped the hot-spots up +18.8% on October, followed by the South West up +15.7% and Scotland up +12.0%.

When it came to the regional ‘not-so-hot-spots’ for November, West Midlands was bottom of the table with a drop in the number of properties ‘Sold’ down -15.9%, the South East was down -15.1% and the North West was down -15.0%.

The seasonal decline was more evident in the number of new ‘For Sale’ listings recorded in November against October, with only one region generating positive month on month figures, (which was London) up +7.8%.

At the other end of the table the regional ‘not-so-hot-spots’ for new ‘For Sale’ listings were Central, down -26.9%, Wales down -25.7% and Scotland down -23.9%.

Disappointingly, the number of ‘For Sale’ listings in November 2011 were also down -1.1% on the same month in 2010 but up +11.0% on November 2009.

A good number of individual cities bucked the seasonal trend and experienced increases in month on month house sales compared to October.

Nottingham topped the ‘hot-spots’ with an increase in properties ‘Sold’ in November, up +27.0%, followed by Newcastle up +25.3% and Colchester up +24.2%.

At the opposite end, the cities recording the greatest decline in month on month properties ‘Sold’ in November were Coventry down -58.8%, Southampton down -42.3% and Norwich down -27.4%.

There was a similar picture for individual cities when it came to New ‘For Sale’ activity in November compared to October.

Colchester topped the charts with a month on month increase of +13.7%, London up +7.8% and Brighton up +5.1%. Coventry saw the greatest monthly decline in new ‘For Sale’ listings compared to October, down -46.6%, with Bristol down -45.9% and Southampton down -39.2%.

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